After a strong finish to 2024, the U.S. economy is now facing its biggest policy headwinds in years. In this exclusive report, CFRA’s Global Head of Research, Paul Beland, CFA, unpacks the implications of the April 2025 trade environment, projected inflation spikes, and rapidly shifting investor sentiment.
With global retaliation accelerating and inflation set to challenge the Fed’s rate strategy, this research provides critical insight into recession likelihood, sector vulnerabilities, and revised portfolio allocations for moderate-risk investors.
Don’t miss CFRA’s latest forecast and guidance on navigating this high-risk macro backdrop.
What You’ll Learn
- Why CFRA projects a 60% probability of a U.S. recession in 2025
- How tariffs could raise core inflation to 5%, limiting Fed flexibility
- Earnings growth expectations for the S&P 500 and why they’re being revised down
- The role of consumer confidence in forecasting economic slowdowns
- Updated CFRA allocation recommendations across equities, bonds, cash, and commodities
Download the full report to see the data, forecasts, and policy analysis driving our outlook.
